There Really Was A Liberal Media Bubble | FiveThirtyEight

The people were the most surprised by Mr. Trump’s victory were those who were not considering all of the evidence.  The last estimate I remember from 538 was that Clinton had roughly a 75% chance of winning.  That is, by no means, a sure thing.

Last summer, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union in what bettors, financial markets and the London-based media regarded as a colossal upset. Reporters and pundits were quick to blame the polls for the unexpected result. But the polls had been fine, more or less: In the closing days of the Brexit campaign, they’d shown an almost-even race, and Leave’s narrow victory (by a margin just under 4 percentage points) was about as consistent with them as it was with anything else. The failure was not so much with the polls but with the people who were analyzing them.

Source: There Really Was A Liberal Media Bubble | FiveThirtyEight

2 thoughts on “There Really Was A Liberal Media Bubble | FiveThirtyEight

Add yours

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: